Bhubaneswar: Delhi is the place where politically there has been a split verdict in five elections in last ten years back to back, three Lok Sabha terms and two assembly terms. Delhi has a significant population which classically is apolitical because the people of Delhi are not just tuned to ant one particular trend of politics or political parties as well as leader perse. A very significant chunk of one third of Delhi shifts from one party to another depending upon which election they are voting in, be it municipal election, assembly or parliamentary election. Delhi has become the showcase of split verdict of elections in India.
Discussing regarding the elections in Delhi in the coming times notwithstanding all the
upheavals the AAP has gone through it still holds a strong stand in the Delhi election. When
talking about the position of the Congress it is ironic that the majority of Delhi thinks the best CM of Delhi so far is Sheila Dikshit. It is a matter to be analysed as the hight of Sheila Dikshit in Delhi and the position of congress today. When coming to BJP in the local politics in Delhi it has been literally absent though nationally the performance of BJP is fairly good. So as Congress had been having a strong positioning at the ground, it was a disastrous decision on the Congress side to go with AAP. The Congress lost all the doings done in the past couple of years.
The narrative of liquor scam and shish mahal controversy has definitely drawn the AAP into a weaker holding but nothing is as yet cited as a deciding factor. The old USP factor of the Aam Aadmi Party has been ruined but presently the factor that holds their ground tight is the Labharti driven Yojana where they have delivered decently. Around forty percent of the Delhi voters are happy about the electricity, water, education, schools and Mohalla clinic schemes etc. So the bottom of the pyramids still can be considered as a solid vote bank which is appreciative. Whereas a significant chunk of that voters vote for BJP in the lok Sabha election. It is also to mention that a great portion of these same voters also fear that if BJP comes to power in Delhi they will stop all these Labharati schemes.
The female voting intent is far more than the male voting lead for the Aam aadmi party. The reason being the money provided to them and the Labharthi schemes have impacted the female voters more than the male voters. It is a fact that many Kejariwal voters in the assembly are Modi voters in the Lok Sabha. Because there is a complete disconnect and split verdict between these two elections as yet.
The second factor is that Arvind Kejriwal is nothing but another politician as the image of him being the disruptor against corruption, a different political leader is gone. But in the absence of the other local effective contenders and his welfare schemes Kejariwal may have the advantage of winning the Delhi election. Technically it is a three corner contest but practically it is a battle between the two, the AAP and the BJP. The congress votes are going to be hugely limited to the minority votes within the 4-5 seats. The election in Delhi is going to be extremely bipolar.
-OdishaAge
